posted at 12:01 pm on September 18, 2014 by Noah Rothman
Two weeks ago, The Cook Political Report's Amy Walter asked a able catechism which prompted abounding in the Republican Party to do some soul-searching. The GOP has fielded able candidates in Senate contest in Iowa and Colorado, but the polling in those states showed that voters were still agreeable to aback the Democratic candidate. If the GOP could not win in these purportedly amethyst states in a Republican year like 2014, she asked, how could they alike achievement to attempt in them in 2016?
Just two weeks later, it seems as admitting the Republican Party may not be the corrupt academy it already appeared to be in the Centennial and Hawkeye States.
On Wednesday, a Quinnipiac University poll showed GOP Senate applicant Joni Ernst accepting the abutment of a majority of acceptable Iowa voters. Her opponent, Rep. Bruce Braley (D-IA), managed alone 44 percent abutment and suffered from the acumen amid voters that he is beneath honest, cares beneath about their problems, and possesses beneath adapted administration ancestry than did Ernst.
Today, Quinnipiac appear its allegation for the chase in Colorado area bounden Sen. Mark Udall (D-CO) faces off adjoin Rep. Cory Gardner (R-CO). The account is alike worse for those acquisitive this Rocky Mountain accompaniment will afresh serve as a Democratic firewall as it did in 2010.
Colorado U.S. Sen. Mark Udall trails U.S. Rep. Cory Gardner, his Republican challenger, 48 – 40 percent amid acceptable voters, according to a Quinnipiac University poll appear today. Absolute applicant Steve Shogan gets 8 percent.
With Shogan out of the race, Rep. Gardner leads 52 – 42 percent, the absolute Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds. This analysis of acceptable voters can not be compared with beforehand surveys of registered voters.
This is the additional poll appear in the aftermost 24-hours to appearance the chase for U.S. Senate in Colorado is a aggressive one. A USA Today/Suffolk analysis appear bygone showed Gardner arch Udall by 43 to 42 percent. While this is a statistical tie, it is additionally a apparent about-face from the aboriginal bisected of September back a alternation of accessible acclamation showed Udall assault Gardner by advantageous margins.
Gardner's advance is not insignificant, but this Quinnipiac poll does accommodate some issues the GOP applicant should be anxious about. Gardner alone leads Udall amid self-described absolute voters by 2 points, and he has alone bound in 88 percent of the Republican vote compared to Udall who has sewn up 90 percent of the Democratic vote.
But that is absolutely area the bad account ends for Gardner in this poll. The GOP appointee is beheld agreeably by 47 percent Colorado's acceptable voters, compared to Udall who is beheld afield by 50 percent.
• Voters say 54 – 28 percent that Gardner is honest and trustworthy, compared to 42 percent who say Udall is honest and accurate and 46 percent who say he is not;
• Gardner cares about their needs and problems, voters say 51 – 37 percent, compared to Udall's 46 – 47 percent split;
• The amateur has able administration qualities, voters say 57 – 25 percent, compared to 51 – 41 percent for the incumbent.
It's not aloof Gardner who ability architect a GOP improvement in the Centennial State. Acclamation accept consistently apparent bounden Democratic Gov. John Hickenlooper is adverse a boxy chase adjoin GOP appointee Bob Beauprez. Quinnipiac's allegation appear bygone advance that voters may be breaking for the GOP candidate; In that poll, a majority said they backed the Republican applicant while alone 40 percent accurate the bounden Democrat.
More polling is bare afore a absolute trend can be identified, but it does assume like Colorado will be a aggressive accompaniment this year. There, Republicans accept a absolute befalling to beating off two key Democratic incumbents.
Amy Walter was right. If the GOP can't win in Colorado and Iowa in 2014, they apparently cannot win them in 2016. The adverse is additionally the case. If Republicans cull off victories in these beat states, the chase to accomplish President Barack Obama in the White House is acceptable to be a aggressive one.
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Title : The GOP comes roaring aback in Colorado
Description : posted at 12:01 pm on September 18, 2014 by Noah Rothman Two weeks ago, The Cook Political Report's Amy Walter asked a abl...